VNPredictVietnam macroeconomic data and forecasts

Vietnam Retail Sales YoY YTD

Output & Demand · Monthly series · VNRSYY

Latest, September 2026

12.5%

+0.21pp from August 2026

Recent history

The 24 most recent observations, newest first.
PeriodValue
September 202612.5%
August 202612.2%
July 202611.9%
June 202611.4%
May 202610.8%
April 202610.5%
March 202610.0%
February 20268.9%
January 20269.3%
December 20259.5%
November 20259.5%
October 20259.8%
September 202510.0%
August 20259.9%
July 20259.8%
June 20259.9%
May 202510.2%
April 202510.2%
March 20259.9%
February 20259.4%
January 20259.5%
December 20248.6%
November 20248.6%
October 20248.5%

Forecast

Forecast for September 2027: 13.5%, with an 80% interval of 9.9% to 17.6%.

Forecast path with the 80% interval.
PeriodForecast80% low80% high
October 202612.7%11.9%13.4%
November 202612.8%11.7%13.8%
December 202612.9%11.6%14.1%
January 202713.0%11.6%14.6%
February 202713.1%11.3%15.1%
March 202713.2%11.2%15.2%
April 202713.2%11.0%15.7%
May 202713.3%10.9%15.9%
June 202713.4%10.8%16.3%
July 202713.4%10.6%16.6%
August 202713.4%10.2%17.0%
September 202713.5%9.9%17.6%

Model: AR(1) + Chronos-2 blend. Forecast generated 2026-10-24.

Accuracy: grade moderate, MASE 1.09 and 80% interval coverage 76% over 12 cross-validation windows. MASE compares forecast errors with carrying the last observed value forward; below 1 means the forecast beat it.

Source

Data: ECONOMICS feed via TradingView.

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